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ai 2027

3 captures, most recent first.

@EigenGender

@EigenGender — 5h can't believe it's 2026 and the predictions at the end of ai 2027 haven't come true yet complete superforecaster defeat
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

A sardonic one-line tweet mocking the "AI 2027" forecast document for predicting dramatic AI developments that (as of this 2026 tweet) have not yet materialized, framed ironically as a defeat for superforecasters.

twitterai 2027ai forecastinghumorsuperintelligence

@apeir99n

— quoting @DKokotajlo (Daniel Kokotajlo)

``` @apeir99n — 10h Every AI doomer says the same thing: losing control = disaster. So they try to slow down progress. Imho losing control is inevitable – and that's okay. A smarter intelligence taking the lead isn't the end of the world. It's not the end of humanity. It's just the end of one belief: that we stay on top forever. Nobody promised us that. Evolution didn't stop with us, we were never the final chapter, just the current one. > QUOTED: @DKokotajlo (Daniel Kokotajlo) — Jul 9 > In AI 2027, we predicted that AI would take over the world or irreversibly concentrate power. > In AI 2040: Plan A, we've laid out our positive vision for what should happen instead. > [Image: same "AI 2040 — Plan A" webpage screenshot as in Screenshot_20260710-140818.png — authors Thomas Larsen, Romeo Dean, Brendan Halstead, Eli Lifland, Ryan Greenblatt, Daniel Kokotajlo; same body text and "2027: The Writing on the Wall" section] ```
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

A tweet expressing a fatalist/accelerationist view that human loss of control to superintelligent AI is inevitable and not necessarily bad, quote-tweeting Daniel Kokotajlo's announcement of "AI 2040: Plan A," a follow-up scenario document to AI 2027 proposing a slowdown/transparency regime to avoid loss-of-control outcomes. A joke tweet riffing on Daniel Kokotajlo's "AI 2040: Plan A" announcement, comparing reading the AI forecasting document to hiding pornography/adult material from a spouse ("I only read it for the supplemental analysis").

ai safetyai governancetwitterai 2027superintelligenceloss of controlhumorai forecasting

Eli Lifland @eli_lifland

Eli Lifland @eli_lifland Here is a graph of roughly Daniel and my AGI timelines medians over time. We have updated in both directions in the past and expect to likely do so in the future. (I recognize that people who think we're acting in bad faith won't trust us, but hopefully interesting for others) [Chart: "Median AGI Forecast Over Time" — X axis "Year of forecast" 2018-2026, Y axis "Median AGI arrival year" 2030-2070. Daniel's line (orange): 2070 (2018) → 2050 (2019) → ~2032 (2020) → ~2029 (2021) → ~2027 (2022) → ~2027 (2023) → ~2027 (2024) → ~2028 (2025) → 2030 (2026). Eli's line (blue): starts 2021 at 2060 → 2050 (2022) → 2035 (2024) → 2032 (2025) → 2031 (2025) → 2035 (2026).] Quoted/embedded own tweet: Eli Lifland @eli_lifland · 22h When we published AI 2027, we thought 2027 was one of the most likely years AGI would arrive. But it was not our **median** forecast, those ranged among authors from 2028-2035. Now our medians have moved back a bit, but our most likely year is still ~2028.... 7:23 AM · Nov 22, 2025 · 36.5K Views 23 replies, 26 reposts, 241 likes, 55 bookmarks
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Eli Lifland (AI 2027 co-author) publishing a chart of how his and Daniel Kokotajlo's median AGI-arrival-year forecasts have shifted over time (2018-2026), clarifying that AI 2027's headline year was not their median forecast. Directly relevant to Nathan's tracking of empirical singularity/AGI timeline forecasts noted elsewhere in the archive (Davidson/Houlden, METR).

agi timelinesai 2027forecastingeli liflanddaniel kokotajlosingularityai safety