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sigmoid

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@willcb

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will brown (verified) @willcb · 19h

who cares if it's technically a sigmoid, the plateau is like 3 or 4 OOMs away. also we're 10x-ing every year, superintelligence by 2030 easily
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Tweet by @willcb arguing that whether AI progress is technically a sigmoid is irrelevant because the plateau is roughly 3 or 4 orders of magnitude away, claiming 10x growth per year and superintelligence by 2030.

ai timelinesscalingsigmoidsuperintelligenceforecasting