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risk estimates

1 capture, most recent first.

Cate Hall @catehall

— saved image

Miles Brundage reposted

Cate Hall @catehall · 2h
Something you might miss if you haven't been following AIS for very long is that Ajeya has always been carefully restrained in her risk estimates

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Compared to the reward hacks we know of from just six months ago, this incident feels like it's more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover. I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities over the next six months. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot before it's too late.

[quoted post]
Ajeya Cotra (verified) @ajeya_cotra · 11h
New post: going into our investigation of the HF attack (before Black Hat), I was very wrong about what basically happened. This incident was far more serious than I expected, and far more serious than previous documented ...
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Cate Hall's post (reposted by Miles Brundage) quoting an excerpt from Ajeya Cotra's new post about an AI incident, with Cotra's own announcement tweet quoted below. Public commentary on an incident; no operational detail captured.

ai safetyajeya cotraai incidentreward hackingwarning shotai takeoverrisk estimates