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jack clark

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Jack Clark @jackclarkSF

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Jack Clark @jackclarkSF · 3h
Rough eras of recent AI progress in terms of what research community is collectively hillclimbing on:
2018-2022: Basic capabilities (summarizing, coding, etc)
2022-2026: Norm & time coherence (rlhf/CAI, longer context, agents)
2026 - ?2028?: scientific intuition / independence
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Tweet from Jack Clark (Anthropic co-founder) sketching a timeline of rough eras of AI research progress, from basic capabilities (2018-2022) to norm/time coherence via RLHF/CAI and agents (2022-2026) to a projected era of scientific intuition/independence starting 2026.

ai progressjack clarkanthropictwitterrlhfagents

Adrien Ecoffet @AdrienLE

— quoting Jack Clark (@jackclarkSF); reply from Chris (@chatgpt21)

Adrien Ecoffet (@AdrienLE): Seems right. (as a reminder, if you think OpenAI disagrees, our stated estimate is that automated AI research will be developed around March 2028) > QUOTED: Jack Clark (@jackclarkSF) · May 4 > I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves. 9:02 PM · May 4, 2026 · 36.4K Views 14 replies, 29 reposts, 237 likes, 53 bookmarks Adrien Ecoffet (@AdrienLE) · May 4: youtu.be/ngDCxlZcecw?si... 8 likes, 2K views Chris (@chatgpt21) · May 4: For clarification we have been debating a little. Do you mean a system that can act as one researcher or a system that can do 100% of the research end to end
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Twitter exchange between OpenAI's Adrien Ecoffet and Anthropic's Jack Clark about timelines for recursive AI self-improvement / automated AI R&D (2028 estimates). Directly relevant to Nathan's interest in AI timelines and empirical singularity tracking (cf. memory notes on Davidson/Houlden r-estimates, METR automation figures).

ai timelinesrecursive self-improvementautomated ai researchjack clarkanthropicopenaisingularity

Jack Clark @jackclarkSF

— reposted by Emad

↻ Emad reposted Jack Clark @jackclarkSF · Sep 10, 2025 People leaving regular companies: Time for a change! Excited for my next chapter! People leaving AI companies: I have gazed into the endless night and there are shapes out there. We must be kind to one another. I am moving on to study philosophy.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Wry observational joke by Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark about the tendency of AI-company departures to be accompanied by portentous, quasi-mystical public statements. Light cultural commentary on the AI safety/industry milieu rather than a substantive finding.

ai industryhumorjack clarkanthropicai safety culture