Jaime Sevilla [verified] @Jsevillamol · 3h
Why is human-level AI R&D ability a privileged milestone? Why not expect that fooming requires significantly more than human-level AI R&D capabilities? Or significantly less?
[8 replies, 1 repost, 23 likes, 1.7K views]
Ryan Greenblatt [verified] @RyanGreenblatt · 2h
Currently, human labor for R&D and AI labor are complements rather than substitutions. Thus, to reach very extreme rates of progress you probably need more capable AIs such that you're in the substitute regime. These AIs may still be significantly worse than humans in some ways.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
Twitter exchange between Jaime Sevilla and Ryan Greenblatt debating whether human-level AI R&D ability is a meaningful milestone for recursive self-improvement ('fooming'), with Greenblatt arguing that human and AI labor are currently complements rather than substitutes, so extreme progress rates require AIs capable enough to be substitutes.
ai takeoffrecursive self-improvementai r&dtwitter
Jaime Sevilla @Jsevillamol · 8h
Anthropic still on track to be the first to a gigawatt datacenter online.
> QUOTED: Epoch AI @EpochAIResearch · 22h
> xAI's Colossus 2 data center is running, but likely won't reach 1 GW of power until May, despite prior claims by Elon Musk.
>
> Our updated analysis shows the facility lacks t...
> [Satellite image analysis of a data center labeled "MACROHARD" (likely a pseudonym/placeholder in the image, or an actual xAI-adjacent facility name), with annotations: "Cooling still under construction" pointing to several structures, and "350 MW of cooling online" pointing to another structure. Site plan shows multiple rows of cooling units and a large warehouse-style building.]
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
A tweet comparing datacenter buildout progress between AI labs (Anthropic vs. xAI's Colossus 2), citing Epoch AI's satellite-imagery analysis. Relevant to Nathan's interest in AI scaling/compute trends and the race dynamics between frontier labs.
ai scalingdatacenterscomputexaianthropicepoch aitwitter
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1. At a high level, I strive for a long, peaceful life where I spend time with my loved ones, read, play games, have novel experiences, and learn. Eighty years is a tragically short life, and I am not okay with it. 2. Some important values to me are seeking truth, self honor, independence, connection with others, leadership, decisive action, energy and assertion, as well as showmanship, novelty and whimsy. 3. Culturally, I have absorbed a lot of Hispanic culture and literature, university math, sci-fi/fantasy/videogames/nerd culture, LW-type rationality, and Effective Altruism do-ism. They do not define me, but they go a long way towards explaining who I am and how I got here. 4. Some characters whom I aspire to be like include Miles Vorkosigan from the Vorkosigan saga, Dalinar Kholin from the Stormlight Archive, and Borges. 5. Many aspects of my character I developed on my own, including polyamory and transhumanism. Over time I feel I've become less distinct from my peers, though I feel this is mostly because I have drifted
towards...
```
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
A self-description/values thread by Jaime Sevilla (@Jsevillamol), covering life goals, values, cultural influences, literary role models, and self-developed traits (polyamory, transhumanism). Likely saved as an example of explicit personal-values articulation, relevant to the project's interest in identity and self-model construction. Same values thread as the previous screenshot, now showing the author: Jaime Sevilla (@Jsevillamol, a known AI forecasting/Epoch AI researcher), posting a personal identity/values reflection. Likely saved for its explicit self-model articulation, of interest given the project's focus on identity construction, though this is a human's self-description rather than an AI's.
twittervaluesself-descriptiontranshumanismrationalityeffective-altruismidentityjaime-sevilla