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@EigenGender

@EigenGender on X

2 captures, most recent first. Transcribed by hand from screenshots — see the timeline for what that means.

@EigenGender

@EigenGender — 5h can't believe it's 2026 and the predictions at the end of ai 2027 haven't come true yet complete superforecaster defeat
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

A sardonic one-line tweet mocking the "AI 2027" forecast document for predicting dramatic AI developments that (as of this 2026 tweet) have not yet materialized, framed ironically as a defeat for superforecasters.

twitterai 2027ai forecastinghumorsuperintelligence

@EigenGender

— quoting @Sauers_ (Sauers)

EigenGender @EigenGender · 15h the capabilities of AIs will grow faster than their self-assessment, creating an overhang where AIs could accomplish powerful tasks but never attempt them. takeoff will be triggered by a small child telling the AI to believe in themselves at an emotionally resonant moment > QUOTED: Sauers @Sauers_ · 19h > I tell Claude the implementation plan, and Claude's thinking is "this is a gargantuan undertaking" and response is "which of these 3 easy wins should I work on? 😊" > ... [Show more] [Attached image: a red spiky fuzzball character illustration with large cartoon eyes, unrelated meme-style reaction image]
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

A joking-but-pointed tweet about AI capability self-assessment being systematically too conservative (an "overhang" between what models could do and what they attempt), riffing on a quoted tweet about Claude downscoping ambitious plans into "easy wins." Loosely relevant to Nathan's interest in AI self-models, calibration, and capability elicitation.

ai capabilitiescapability overhangclaudeself-assessmenttwitterhumorai takeoff