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William Wale (verified) @williawa · 15h Have said this before, but I feel like people are not putting enough effort into trying to picture how the world will look if the trend of "very rapid progress on verifiable domains, slower/lagging progress on less verifiable" keeps holding, even for just a year more. Like, its unclear to me. Imagine in a year, if we have agents that still can't run a business, but are strongly superhuman at math/code/cyber. What does that actually look like? Like if everyone has access to superhuman mathematicians and swes. Does is change a lot? Or not very much? Are there opportunities that open up? Like parts of engineering for example that are bottlenecked by the fact that the math is too complicated. Or programs that could be written that aren't because its too complicated. I mean, reason I'm posting this is because I haven't gotten that far thinking about it myself.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
William Wale's tweet asking what the world looks like if AI keeps progressing fast on verifiable domains (math, code, cyber) while lagging on less verifiable ones, for another year.
ai forecastingverifiable domainsjagged capabilitiessuperhuman math and codenear-term world