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spiky capabilities

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kalomaze @kalomaze

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kalomaze @kalomaze
i'm becoming more opposed to the intuition people have wrt "spiky capabilities are a function of how verifiable a domain is",the idea that things not shaped like math/SWE won't fall to RLVR
the general primitive is information asymmetry and you can almost anyways manufacture it
5:41 PM · Sep 11, 2026 · 12K Views
14 replies · 13 reposts · 294 likes · 89 bookmarks

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kalomaze @kalomaze · 13h
what is still true:
- the field is kinda bad at predicting how constructions transfer, so people focus on broad coverage of verifier-shaped real tasks.
- typical heuristics for predicting transfer outcomes (like domain similarity) are crude, and usually aren't learned e2e
1 reply · 46 likes · 1.3K views

kalomaze @kalomaze · 13h
i don't think you necessarily need a strong mechanistic theory of transfer, which quite possibly doesn't exist in a closed form or analytic sense, before you train, as much as you need a strong learned function of transfer extrapolation for a given policy
which is constructible
2 replies · 35 likes · 1.2K views

kalomaze @kalomaze · 13h
most of my intuition for why extrapolating transfer probably must be learned is downstream of CoT/ [cut off]
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Thread by kalomaze arguing against the view that spiky capabilities track how verifiable a domain is: the general primitive is information asymmetry, which can usually be manufactured, so non-math/SWE domains can fall to RLVR; follow-ups discuss predicting transfer with learned functions rather than mechanistic theory.

rlvrspiky capabilitiesverifiabilitytransferinformation asymmetryml training