davidad @davidad
— quoting Ethan Mollick (@emollick)
davidad @davidad · 13h
Yeah, this is what Ilya (fore)saw
[Image: line chart with two trend fits over time — teal dashed "Non-reasoning fit" line, roughly flat/linear low slope, and pink "Reasoning fit" line with steeper upward slope, both fit to scatter points; axes unlabeled in visible crop]
> QUOTED: Ethan Mollick @emollick · 19h
> Its funny how much the whole "strawberry" thing, which turned out to be o1-preview, was dismissed as overhyped at launch when it is clear in retrospect that it was way underhyped. ...
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
A tweet arguing that OpenAI's "reasoning" model paradigm (o1-preview, codenamed "strawberry") produced a much steeper capability-growth trend line than non-reasoning models, framed as vindicating Ilya Sutskever's foresight. Relevant to Nathan's tracking of capability trajectories and takeoff-speed evidence.
twitterdavidadilya sutskevero1reasoning modelscapability trendsethan mollick