Joshua Achiam @jachiam0
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davidad 🌟 reposted Joshua Achiam @jachiam0 · 1h Related to some of my earlier posts about RSI and threat models: I believe a huge strategic error is made when people model an ASI as an infinitely powerful and insurmountable threat. We should model, with more rigor, what types of adversarial AI we willl likely face, what the ecosystem of AIs will look like in each scenario, what deterrence we could meaningfully establish to prevent a hot conflict from developing, and how we would prosecute such conflicts if they occur. The doomer model of "we all die in the first five minutes" is unfathomably stupid, useless, and for the overwhelming majority of realistic scenarios in the near future, false.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
Tweet from Joshua Achiam arguing against modeling ASI as an infinitely powerful insurmountable threat, calling for rigorous modeling of adversarial AI ecosystems, deterrence, and conflict scenarios instead of the 'we all die in the first five minutes' doomer model, which he calls stupid, useless and mostly false for near-future scenarios.