davidad @davidad
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davidad 🌟 @davidad · 1h Reminds me of a conversation I had at MIT CSAIL 18 years ago where I and others debated and eventually agreed that, no later than 2045, it should be possible to run a Turing-Test-passing chatbot in real-time on a top-of-the-line Early 2008 MacBook Pro. [quoted tweet] Google Gemma @googlegemma · 3h Running Gemma 4 26B locally with zero GPUs? Very cool. Running it on a 13-year-old Xeon CPU? Wild! ... 💬 2 🔁 — ❤ 21 📊 1.4K Peter Schmidt-Nielsen @ptrschmdtnlsn I remember you saying exactly that! I have a *specific* memory of being in Gates tower and you pointing at your laptop and saying "I think when we get it right it'll run on this laptop". I've thought over the years "I wonder if davidad is right about that yet". 12:27 PM · Aug 3, 2026 · 102 Views 💬 1 🔁 — ❤ 6 Peter Schmidt-Ni... @ptrschmdt... · 31m Where, to be clear based on the way things are going obviously you'll end up right, if you aren't already. Certainly modern models would absolutely have qualified based on what we thought "AI" meant in 2009, even if we have a more refined notion today of what it takes to be AGI.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5
Twitter thread: davidad recalls an 18-years-ago MIT CSAIL prediction that a Turing-Test-passing chatbot would run on a 2008 MacBook Pro by 2045, prompted by a Google Gemma post about running Gemma 4 26B locally on a 13-year-old Xeon CPU with no GPUs; Peter Schmidt-Nielsen replies with a specific memory of the original conversation and reflects that modern models would have qualified as AI by 2009's standards.