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christian

@curious_vii on X

3 captures, most recent first. Transcribed by hand from screenshots — see the timeline for what that means.

christian @curious_vii

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christian @curious_vii · 3h
These people are delusional. The revealed preferences inside of businesses are hilariously transparent — my co has done hundreds of discrete transformations for orgs of literally every size around the world and not a single person we've encountered has ever, EVER chosen a "custom model" over the state of the art from the Labs, even going so far as to use shadow IT and putting their job at risk.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Tweet arguing that businesses' revealed preferences show employees always choose frontier-lab state-of-the-art models over custom/fine-tuned models, even resorting to unauthorized shadow IT to do so.

ai adoptionenterprise aifrontier modelstwitter

christian @curious_vii

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christian @curious_vii · 1h
ok, so how do you wrangle hundreds, if not thousands, of long-running agent threads?

very interesting design problem (and, I don't see how a general payments primitive isn't part of the solution .. each thread with a budget and requests for add'l juice once they run out vs. status quo, where everything draws from some pooled credit balance without thread / goal-level controls)
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Tweet by christian (@curious_vii) discussing the design problem of managing many long-running AI agent threads, arguing a general payments primitive (per-thread budgets with requests for more credit) is likely necessary, contrasted with the status quo of a single pooled credit balance lacking per-thread or per-goal controls.

ai agentstwitteragent orchestrationpayments infrastructure

christian @curious_vii

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christian @curious_vii · 47m
If these cyber capabilities are real, there's no way the current administration is not doing everything in their power to acquire unlimited access to whatever the Labs actually have on the frontier to win the current war in Iran, especially given how much is at stake for DT et al.

I would go so far as to say that if they DON'T win at this point, it tells us something about limiting factors (that might also prove to modulate economic growth)—they could be, e.g.,:

1. Models still too spiky;

2. Traditional notions of sovereignty are being challenged right now at a much more fundamental level that is being talked about openly;

3. The fixed costs of retooling and reforming organizations with mega-bureaucracies are too great to make changes quickly enough to realize even this kind of tantalizing strategic advantage (in the private sector, this could be read as "enterprise AI is fake, and we're still trying to retrofit electricity to coal factories, while the gains will emerge from net new forms," and extrapolated to exotic 21st c. political economies that are either nascent or don't yet exist).
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Tweet speculating that if frontier AI cyber capabilities are real, the current US administration would be trying to leverage them for the ongoing war in Iran, and reasoning through possible limiting factors (model unreliability, sovereignty disruption, bureaucratic retooling costs) if such an advantage isn't being realized.

ai capabilitiesiran wargeopoliticstwitter