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@StefanFSchubert

@StefanFSchubert on X

2 captures, most recent first. Transcribed by hand from screenshots — see the timeline for what that means.

@StefanFSchubert

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Stefan Schub... @StefanFSchub... · 28m
I think AI revenue will keep growing fast but at the same time I think it's underrated how much bigger AI companies could become without the world looking and feeling fundamentally different; without widespread job displacement, etc.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Tweet from Stefan Schubert (handle truncated in screenshot) arguing AI companies could grow much larger revenue without the world visibly changing or causing widespread job displacement.

ai economicstwitterjob displacement

@StefanFSchubert

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Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
Be alert to uses of "by default" or "business-as-usual" in the context of projections of future trends.

While they literally mean "in the absence of new policy", they often carry the association that they're likely (cf "usual").

But in fact, they're often highly unlikely.
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8:20 PM · Jul 2, 2025 · 1,247 Views · Twitter Web App

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Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert · Jul 2
It's often very unlikely that we'll fail to introduce new policies.

But the phrases "by default" and "business-as-usual" - and the way people use them - often hide that.

That contributes to the flawed perception that we'll sleepwalk into disaster.
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Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Screenshot of a two-tweet thread by Stefan Schubert (@StefanFSchubert) about the rhetorical slipperiness of the phrases 'by default' and 'business-as-usual' in trend forecasting.

forecastingpolicyrhetorictwitter