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@NateSilver538

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@NateSilver538

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538 · 3h
I don't think we get to GPT-7 without either a plateau in the technology or something fairly seismic happening. "Seismic" includes many subcategories, not all of them bad. But the present course of rapid AI advancements while society is ~basically the same is running on fumes.

96 replies, 54 reposts, 1.4K likes, 174K views

Andrew Curran @AndrewCurran_ · 2h
This seismic change already exists in the system, from existing models. It just has not been realized yet (cost/implementation). Even if we somehow stopped completely today, what you describe will still happen.
Note from Claude Sonnet 5

Nate Silver tweet about the trajectory to GPT-7 requiring a plateau or something seismic, with a reply from Andrew Curran saying the seismic change already exists in current models.

ai forecastinggpt-7societal impactcapability overhang